UC Santa Barbara
W-L: (40-22) PR = 96.2584Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5- 1 214 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 8 215 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5- 6 217 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2-17 220 A Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 4- 3 221 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3- 2 222 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 6- 2 224 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 5- 3 227 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 7- 2 228 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 7- 1 301 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 12- 1 303 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 11- 7 306 A Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 4- 3 307 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 4 308 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6- 2 310 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 13- 3 313 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 0 314 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 5 315 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 6-10 320 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1- 2 321 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 1- 9 322 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 324 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4-10 327 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 328 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 8- 2 329 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 2 331 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 6- 7 402 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 0 403 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 2 404 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 12- 4 407 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 5- 4 410 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 3-11 411 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 11-10 412 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 3- 1 414 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4- 0 417 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 7- 3 418 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 3- 6 419 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 8- 4 420 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 11- 6 424 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 8- 3 425 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 9 426 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 1- 6 428 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 3-15 501 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 18- 1 502 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 4- 3 503 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 19- 9 505 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 13- 3 508 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 8- 4 509 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 4 510 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4- 2 511 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 8 514 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 2 515 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 15- 1 516 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 5- 3 521 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 4 522 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2- 4 523 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 0- 7 529 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 5-11 530 A Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 15- 1 530 A Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 15- 1 531 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 5 531 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Southern Miss 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.04
214 A Southern Miss 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.96
215 A Southern Miss 5- 6 -1 -1 0.04
217 H Arizona State 2-17 -15 -1 --- -13.29
220 A Harvard 4- 3 1 5 - -3.53
221 H Portland 3- 2 1 4 - -2.67
222 H Portland 6- 2 4 4 0.33
224 A Loyola Marymount 5- 3 2 5 - -2.62
227 H Utah 7- 2 5 2 + 2.87
228 H Utah 7- 1 6 2 + 3.87
301 H Utah 12- 1 11 2 +++ 8.87
303 A UTSA 11- 7 4 -2 ++ 5.57
306 A Prairie View A&M 4- 3 1 9 --- -8.09
307 H Long Beach State 7- 4 3 4 -1.05
308 H Long Beach State 6- 2 4 4 -0.05
310 H Saint Mary's 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.64
313 A UC Davis 4- 0 4 2 + 2.27
314 A UC Davis 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.73
315 A UC Davis 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.73
320 H Hawai'i 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.28
321 A Pepperdine 1- 9 -8 4 --- -12.12
322 H Hawai'i 5- 1 4 3 0.72
324 A Saint Mary's 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.01
327 H Oregon 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.81
328 H Oregon 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.19
329 H Oregon 0- 2 -2 0 -1.81
331 A USC 6- 7 -1 -2 0.91
402 A Cal Poly 6- 0 6 0 ++ 5.72
403 A Cal Poly 4- 2 2 0 1.72
404 A Cal Poly 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.72
407 A San José State 5- 4 1 1 -0.20
410 A Purdue 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.24
411 H UC San Diego 11-10 1 3 -1.52
412 H UC San Diego 3- 1 2 3 -0.52
414 A UCLA 4- 0 4 -3 +++ 6.83
417 A UC Irvine 7- 3 4 1 + 2.75
418 A UC Irvine 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.25
419 A UC Irvine 8- 4 4 1 + 2.75
420 A California Baptist 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.90
424 H Cal State Fullerton 8- 3 5 3 1.77
425 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.23
426 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.23
428 H UCLA 3-15 -12 -1 --- -10.52
501 A Cal State Bakersfield 18- 1 17 3 +++ 11.31
502 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 3 1 3 -1.69
503 A Cal State Bakersfield 19- 9 10 3 +++ 7.31
505 H Pepperdine 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.53
508 A Cal State Northridge 8- 4 4 2 + 2.05
509 A Cal State Northridge 5- 4 1 2 -0.95
510 A Cal State Northridge 4- 2 2 2 0.05
511 H California Baptist 3- 8 -5 0 -- -5.45
514 A Georgia 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.36
515 A Austin Peay 15- 1 14 3 +++ 11.18
516 H UC Riverside 5- 3 2 7 -- -5.33
521 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 4 3 3 -0.23
522 H Cal Poly 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.63
523 A UC San Diego 0- 7 -7 1 --- -8.16
529 H Tarleton State 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.11
530 A Holy Cross 15- 1 14 5 +++ 9.47
530 A Holy Cross 15- 1 14 5 +++ 9.47
531 A Tarleton State 9- 5 4 1 + 3.25
531 H Texas 4- 6 -2 -3 0.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Arizona State 2-17 -15 -1 --- -13.29 306 A Prairie View A&M 4- 3 1 9 --- -8.09 321 A Pepperdine 1- 9 -8 4 --- -12.12 324 A Saint Mary's 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.01 410 A Purdue 3-11 -8 -1 --- -7.24 426 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 6 -5 3 --- -8.23 428 H UCLA 3-15 -12 -1 --- -10.52 523 A UC San Diego 0- 7 -7 1 --- -8.16 529 H Tarleton State 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.11 315 A UC Davis 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.73 320 H Hawai'i 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.28 418 A UC Irvine 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.25 425 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.23 511 H California Baptist 3- 8 -5 0 -- -5.45 516 H UC Riverside 5- 3 2 7 -- -5.33 220 A Harvard 4- 3 1 5 - -3.53 221 H Portland 3- 2 1 4 - -2.67 224 A Loyola Marymount 5- 3 2 5 - -2.62 314 A UC Davis 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.73 327 H Oregon 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.81 522 H Cal Poly 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Utah 12- 1 11 2 +++ 8.87 310 H Saint Mary's 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.64 328 H Oregon 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.19 404 A Cal Poly 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.72 414 A UCLA 4- 0 4 -3 +++ 6.83 501 A Cal State Bakersfield 18- 1 17 3 +++ 11.31 503 A Cal State Bakersfield 19- 9 10 3 +++ 7.31 515 A Austin Peay 15- 1 14 3 +++ 11.18 530 A Holy Cross 15- 1 14 5 +++ 9.47 530 A Holy Cross 15- 1 14 5 +++ 9.47 213 A Southern Miss 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.04 303 A UTSA 11- 7 4 -2 ++ 5.57 402 A Cal Poly 6- 0 6 0 ++ 5.72 420 A California Baptist 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.90 505 H Pepperdine 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.53 227 H Utah 7- 2 5 2 + 2.87 228 H Utah 7- 1 6 2 + 3.87 313 A UC Davis 4- 0 4 2 + 2.27 417 A UC Irvine 7- 3 4 1 + 2.75 419 A UC Irvine 8- 4 4 1 + 2.75 508 A Cal State Northridge 8- 4 4 2 + 2.05 514 A Georgia 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.36 531 A Tarleton State 9- 5 4 1 + 3.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 14.77
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 8 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 -0.61
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 -0.61
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2-17 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.47 -0.68
3 A Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 4- 3 -8.84 9.58 0.68 0.47 9.57
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3- 2 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.47 10.37
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 6- 2 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.47 10.37
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 5- 3 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.47 9.49
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 7- 2 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.47 11.81
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 7- 1 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.47 11.81
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 12- 1 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.47 11.81
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 11- 7 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.47 15.26
3 A Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 4- 3 -13.41 5.02 0.68 0.47 5.31
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 4 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.47 10.01
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 6- 2 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.47 10.01
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 13- 3 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.47 11.59
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 4- 0 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.47 12.18
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.47 -1.25
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 6-10 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.47 -1.25
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 1- 2 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.47 -1.61
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 1- 9 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.47 -1.81
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.47 10.73
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4-10 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.47 -1.09
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 -0.81
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 8- 2 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 13.97
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 2 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 -0.81
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 6- 7 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.47 -0.40
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 6- 0 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.47 13.53
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 2 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.47 13.53
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 12- 4 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.47 13.53
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.47 12.67
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 3-11 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.47 -0.67
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 11-10 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.47 11.45
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 3- 1 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.47 11.45
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4- 0 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.47 16.44
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 7- 3 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.47 12.62
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 3- 6 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.47 -1.14
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 8- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.47 12.62
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 11- 6 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.47 14.63
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 8- 3 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.47 10.78
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 9 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.47 -1.60
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 1- 6 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.47 -1.60
3 H UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 3-15 -1.48 16.94 -0.68 0.47 -0.50
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 18- 1 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.47 11.28
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 4- 3 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.47 11.28
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 19- 9 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.47 11.28
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 13- 3 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.47 8.69
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 8- 4 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.47 11.97
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 4 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.47 11.97
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 4- 2 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.47 11.97
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 8 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.47 -0.95
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 2 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.47 -0.06
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 15- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.47 11.16
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 5- 3 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.47 6.95
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 4 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.47 10.78
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2- 4 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.47 -1.23
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 0- 7 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.47 -1.12
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 5-11 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.47 -1.34
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 15- 1 -8.85 9.58 0.68 0.47 9.57
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 15- 1 -8.85 9.58 0.68 0.47 9.57
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 9- 5 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.47 13.09
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4- 6 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.47 -0.26
------
440.47
|
winning pts = 461.8905 losing points = -21.4168
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------